Former PKK fighters could join Iran’s Kurdish insurgency, strengthening PJAK and threatening to destabilize the Iran–Iraq–Türkiye border region. Iraq and Türkiye face growing security risks, as renewed Kurdish militancy could undermine Ankara’s peace process, Iraqi sovereignty, and regional energy infrastructure. Washington faces a strategic dilemma, as supporting Kurdish militants against Iran could alienate NATO ally...

A U.S. ground invasion of Iran could become a military catastrophe, with difficult terrain, entrenched defenses, and the risk of prolonged guerrilla warfare. An invasion could send oil prices toward $200 per barrel, worsening inflation and imposing enormous economic and military costs. Diplomacy offers a less destructive alternative. The ghosts of Baghdad and Kabul should...

The US Iran strategy is working at cross-purposes with its Central Asia strategy; Secondary sanctions may push the region toward closer ties with China and Russia. On August 19, US President Donald Trump announced an “ECONOMIC D-DAY” against the Islamic Republic of Iran, warning of “tremendous economic consequences” for any country allowing its financial institutions,...